The uncertainty inherent in the jury system encourages these settlements
because both sides realize that although they may win more than the
settlement provides, they can also lose everything. In some cases, innocent
defendants, both civil and criminal, settle or accept a plea bargain because
they believe that jury prejudice will make it impossible to get a fair trial. This
happens both to poor members of disadvantaged groups who fear racial or
ethnic prejudice, and to large corporations that fear that juries will disregard
scientific evidence in favor of emotion, especially in cases that involve difficult
issues of statistical proof, such as the breast implant cases or environmental
toxin cases.
Cases go to trial when either or both parties would rather risk a loss than take
a settlement on the terms available. Physicians accused of criminal Medicare
fraud often fight, even when their chances of winning are very low, because a
plea will cost them their medical license and the right to work in medical care.
Conversely, institutions charged with Medicare fraud usually settle because the
government sets the fine they must pay low enough so they will not go out of
business, but the mandatory fines that accompany a guilty verdict will
bankrupt them. The reporting requirements of the National Practitioner
Databank discourage settlements in medical malpractice cases because the
settlements cannot be made confidential.