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| [1] | United States Court of Appeals FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT | 
| [2] | No. 98-1627, Consolidated with, 99-1053, 99-1056 | 
| [3] | 2000.CDC.0042071 <http://www.versuslaw.com> | 
| [4] | March 31, 2000 | 
| [5] | CHLORINE CHEMISTRY COUNCIL AND CHEMICAL MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION, PETITIONERS v. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, RESPONDENT NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL, ET AL., INTERVENORS | 
| [6] | Thomas Richichi argued the cause for petitioners Chlorine Chemistry Council, 
      et al. and supporting intervenor Society of the Plastics Industry, Inc. 
      With him on the briefs were Kathryn Y. Aspegren, David F. Zoll, Katherine 
      L. Rhyne, Paul D. Clement, Richard S. Wasserstrom, Jerome H. Heckman, Peter 
      L. de la Cruz and Komal J. Hershberg. John F. Cooney and Brock Landry were 
      on the brief for amicus curiae Public Health Scientists. Karen L. Egbert, 
      Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice, argued the cause for respondent. With 
      her on the brief were Lois J. Schiffer, Assistant Attorney General, and 
      Karen H. Clark, Attorney, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Christopher 
      S. Vaden, Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice, entered an appearance. Alan 
      Charles Raul and David M. Levy were on the brief for amici curiae Congressman 
      Tom Bliley. Erik D. Olson was on the brief for intervenors Natural Resources 
      Defense Council and Physicians for Social Responsibility. | 
| [7] | Before: Silberman, Williams and Ginsburg, Circuit Judges. | 
| [8] | The opinion of the court was delivered by: Williams, Circuit Judge | 
| [9] | Argued February 11, 2000 | 
| [10] | On Petitions for Review of an Order of the Environmental Protection Agency | 
| [11] | Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge Williams. | 
| [12] | The Safe Drinking Water Act ("SDWA" or the "Act") 
      directs the Environmental Protection Agency to set standards for the regulation 
      of covered drinking water contaminants. For each EPA sets a "maximum 
      contaminant level goal" ("MCLG"), defined as "the level 
      at which no known or anticipated adverse effects on the health of persons 
      occur and which allows an adequate margin of safety." 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(4)(A). 
      The MCLG is somewhat aspirational. After having set it, EPA is to promulgate 
      an enforceable standard, known as a maximum contaminant level ("MCL"), 
      which takes practical considerations into account while remaining "as 
      close to the [MCLG] as is feasible." Id. § 300g-1(b)(4)(B). | 
| [13] | In March 1998 EPA concluded that chloroform, a drinking water contaminant, 
      exhibits a "nonlinear mode of carcinogenic action." Notice of 
      Data Availability: National Primary Drinking Water Regulations: Disinfectants 
      and Disinfection Byproducts, 63 Fed. Reg. 15,674, 15,686/1 (1998). In other 
      words, exposures to chloroform below some threshold level pose no risk of 
      cancer. But in promulgating the MCLG it retained the existing standard of 
      zero, which was based on the previously held assumption that there was no 
      safe threshold. Final Rule: National Primary Drinking Water Regulations: 
      Disinfectants and Disinfection Byproducts, 63 Fed. Reg. 69,390, 69,398/3 
      (1998) ("Final Rule"). EPA justified its action on a variety of 
      grounds, including an alleged need to consult the report of its Science 
      Advisory Board ("SAB"), which would not be available until after 
      the statutory deadline for rulemaking had expired. Petitioners, including 
      the Chlorine Chemistry Council, a trade association comprised of chlorine 
      and chlorine product manufacturers, petitioned this court for review, arguing 
      that EPA violated its statutory mandate to use the "best available" 
      evidence when implementing the provisions of the Safe Drinking Water Act. 
      42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(3)(A). We agree. | 
| [14] | Chloroform, a "nonflammable, colorless liquid," Proposed Rule: 
      National Primary Drinking Water Regulations: Disinfectants and Disinfection 
      Byproducts, 59 Fed. Reg. 38,668, 38,694/2 (1994), is one of four compounds 
      that together are classed as "Total Trihalomethanes" ("TTHMs"). 
      These are byproducts of chlorination, the most widely used technique for 
      ensuring the safety of drinking water. Chlorination plays a significant 
      role in the control of microbial pathogens and in turn in the protection 
      of public health; but on the basis of rodent tumor data the Agency has concluded 
      that chloroform, a byproduct of this process, acts as a probable human carcinogen. 
      Id. at 38,697/2. | 
| [15] | On July 29, 1994 EPA issued a proposed rule on disinfectants and disinfection 
      byproducts in water. This included a zero MCLG for chloroform, based on 
      EPA's finding of an absence of data to suggest a threshold level below which 
      there would be no potential carcinogenic effects. Id. The Agency's | 
| [16] | default method of inferring risk at exposure levels for which it has no 
      adequate data is linear extrapolation from cancer incidence inferred at 
      exposures for which it does have data. See EPA's Proposed Guidelines for 
      Carcinogen Risk Assessment, 61 Fed. Reg. 17,960, 17,968/3 (1996). Thus, 
      either if the evidence supports linearity, or if there is "insufficient" 
      evidence of nonlinearity, EPA assumes that if a substance causes cancer 
      at any exposure it will do so at every non-zero exposure (though with cancer 
      incidence declining with exposure). But EPA acknowledges its authority "to 
      establish nonzero MCLGs for carcinogens if the scientific evidence" 
      indicates that a "safe threshold" exists. See Final Rule, 63 Fed. 
      Reg. at 69,401/2. And petitioners here assume the validity of the linear 
      default assumption. | 
| [17] | In 1996 Congress amended the SDWA, enshrining in the statute a timetable 
      previously set by EPA for rules relating to disinfectants and disinfection 
      byproducts associated with water treatment. 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(2)(C); 
      Proposed Rule: National Primary Drinking Water Regulations: Monitoring Requirements 
      for Public Drinking Water Supplies, 59 Fed. Reg. 6332, 6361 (1994). The 
      relevant deadline here was November 1998. In preparation for the necessary 
      rulemaking EPA formed an advisory group in 1997 whose purpose was "to 
      collect, share, and analyze new information and data, as well as to build 
      consensus on the regulatory implications of this new information." 
      Notice of Data Availability: National Primary Drinking Water Regulations: 
      Interim Enhanced Surface Water Treatment Rule, 62 Fed. Reg. 59,486, 59,491/1 
      (1997). | 
| [18] | On the basis of the committee's findings and recommendations, EPA in November 
      1997 published a Notice of Data Availability ("NODA"), 62 Fed. 
      Reg. 59,388 (1997), and in 1998 it published a second NODA specific to chloroform, 
      63 Fed. Reg. 15,674 (1998). Among the findings it discussed were those arrived 
      at by a panel of experts organized by the International Life Sciences Institute. 
      The panel, whose work was subject to independent peer review and was convened 
      under the auspices of the EPA, concluded on the basis of chloroform's mode 
      of action that although it was "a likely carcinogen to humans above 
      a certain dose range, [it was] unlikely to be carcinogenic below a certain 
      dose range." Id. at 15,685/1. The panel recommended "the nonlinear 
      [ ] or margin of exposure approach [as] the preferred approach to quantifying 
      the cancer risk associated with chloroform exposure." Id. at 15,686/1. | 
| [19] | EPA agreed. It said that "[a]lthough the precise mechanism of chloroform 
      carcinogenicity is not established," nevertheless "the chloroform 
      dose-response should be considered nonlinear." Id. at 15,685/3. Rather 
      than operating through effects on DNA, which is consistent with linearity, 
      chloroform evidently works through "cytotoxicity" (i.e., damage 
      to the cells) followed by regenerative cell proliferation. Id. Employing 
      the threshold approach that it found was entailed by chloroform's mode of 
      action, EPA then calculated an MCLG of 600 parts per billion ("ppb"), 
      based solely on carcinogenicity. Id. at 15,686/2. This level built in a 
      1000-fold margin of error in relation to the maximum safe dosage implied 
      from the animal studies used by EPA. Id. But because even lower chlorine 
      doses cause liver toxicity (a non-cancer effect), EPA proposed an MCLG of 
      300 ppb. Id. | 
| [20] | When EPA came to promulgate its final rule in December 1998, however, 
      its MCLG was again zero. Final Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 69,398/3. It stuck 
      with 1994's zero level despite its explicit statement that it now "believe[d] 
      that the underlying science for using a nonlinear extrapolation approach 
      to evaluate the carcinogenic risk from chloroform is well founded." 
      Id. at 69,401/1. It justified the action on the basis that "additional 
      deliberations with the Agency's SAB on the analytical approach used" 
      and on the underlying scientific evidence were needed "prior to departing 
      from a long-held EPA policy." Id. at 69,399-69,401. It could not complete 
      such additional deliberations by the November 1998 statutory deadline, and, 
      moreover, the rulemaking would not affect the enforceable MCL for TTHMs. | 
| [21] | After briefing on the petition for review at issue here, but before oral 
      argument, EPA moved for a voluntary remand to consider the SAB report on 
      chloroform that would soon be available. But EPA made no offer to vacate 
      the rule; thus EPA's proposal would have left petitioners subject to a rule 
      they claimed was invalid. We denied the motion. | 
| [22] | On February 11, 2000, the day of oral argument, EPA released a draft report 
      by the SAB on chloroform. See Draft, Chloroform Risk Assessment Review, 
      February 10, 2000 (visited March 27, 2000) . The report concluded that chloroform 
      exhibits a "cytotoxic" mode of action. Such a mode of action (unlike 
      a "genotoxic" mechanism, which acts directly on a cell's DNA) 
      involves no carcinogenic effects at low doses; thus a nonlinear approach 
      is "scientifically reasonable." Id. at 17. After consideration 
      of the draft SAB report, EPA stated that it "no longer believes that 
      it should continue to defend its original decision," and moved that 
      this court vacate the MCLG. Motion for Vacatur, at 2 (February 24, 2000). | 
| [23] | EPA in its motion to vacate concedes that "the discussion on standing 
      at oral argument indicates that petitioners may indeed meet minimum requirements 
      for standing," a necessary precursor to our providing any relief beyond 
      the vacatur proposed by EPA. Given our independent duty to be sure of our 
      jurisdiction, Floyd v. District of Columbia, 129 F.3d 152, 155 (D.C. Cir. 
      1997), we address EPA's now evidently abandoned jurisdictional arguments. | 
| [24] | EPA's brief contends that petitioners lack Article III standing because 
      they have not demonstrated injury-in-fact from the MCLG. Lujan v. Defenders 
      of Wildlife, 504 U.S. 555, 560-61 (1992). We have already held, in International 
      Fabricare Inst. v. EPA, 972 F.2d 384, 390 (D.C. Cir. 1992), that an association 
      of dry cleaning businesses had standing to attack EPA's setting of a zero 
      MCLG for a contaminant used in their business. There we pointed to the MCLG's 
      link to risks of "greater liability under the Comprehensive Environmental 
      Response, Compensation and Liability Act ('CERCLA'), 42 U.S.C. §§ 9601-9675," 
      id., which under some circumstances may entail remedial action achieving 
      "a level or standard of control which at least attains Maximum Contaminant 
      Level Goals established under the Safe Drinking Water Act," 42 U.S.C. 
      § 9621(d)(2)(A). | 
| [25] | EPA challenges petitioners' theory on several grounds. First, it says, 
      its regulations provide that when a zero MCLG is set, it is the MCL, not 
      the MCLG, that is used to set cleanup standards. 40 CFR § 300.430(e)(2)(i)(C). 
      In this case, says EPA, the MCL set for TTHMs would control. Since there 
      is no suggestion that the effective MCL will imminently be affected by the 
      zero MCLG, and petitioners have not challenged the MCL for TTHMs, EPA argues 
      that they have failed to demonstrate an injury. | 
| [26] | But the MCL for TTHMs is in fact not dispositive in setting the cleanup 
      standard for chloroform. EPA has in the past rejected use of the TTHM MCL 
      for that purpose, saying that that MCL is "based on an analysis evaluating 
      the health benefits of chlorinating public drinking water supplies against 
      the detrimental effects of the production of trihalomethanes as a result 
      of chlorinating those supplies." U.S. EPA, Superfund Record of Decision, 
      Stringfellow Hazardous Waste Site, at 25 (Sept. 30, 1990). Instead, EPA 
      has set chloroform cleanup goals as low as 6 ppb (far below the 100 ppb 
      MCL for TTHMs), based on an assumption that chloroform poses a risk of cancer 
      at any dose, but that 6 ppb would yield an acceptable cancer risk of one-in-a-million. 
      Id. Thus EPA's actual practice belies its claims here as to the inconsequentiality 
      of the chloroform MCLG. | 
| [27] | EPA also argues that unlike the petitioners in International Fabricare, 
      neither petitioners nor their members here have yet been subjected to cleanup 
      costs for chloroform contamination, and thus have not demonstrated a "genuine 
      threat" of CERCLA liability. EPA's Br. at 21. But in a forward-looking 
      suit the petitioners' subjection to past injury is relevant primarily as 
      it may shed light on whether the challenged action has a "substantial 
      probability" of causing injury. Florida Audubon Soc'y v. Bentsen, 94 
      F.3d 658, 666 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (en banc). CERCLA imposes joint and several 
      liability on "any person who by contract, agreement, or otherwise arranged 
      for disposal or treatment ... of hazardous substances owned or possessed 
      by such person." 42 U.S.C. § 9607(a)(3). In light of petitioners' contention 
      that they face liability "for the cleanup of chloroform at Superfund 
      sites across the country," Petitioners' Reply Br. at 16, we find it 
      at least substantially probable that a zero MCLG, as compared with a nonzero 
      one, will expose them to higher cleanup costs. | 
| [28] | Before turning to the merits of petitioners' claim, we note EPA's contention 
      that its motion to vacate obviates the "need for the Court to issue 
      an opinion." Motion for Vacatur, at 3. But we have no reason to believe 
      that mere vacatur provides an adequate remedy if, as we ultimately conclude, 
      EPA's action was unlawful. Petitioners request that we instruct EPA to "promulgate 
      a non-zero MCLG using the best available peer-reviewed science." Petitioners' 
      Initial Br. at 34. But EPA has not indicated an intention to take such action 
      upon vacatur. Moreover, EPA makes no claim that the 1994 zero MCLG would 
      not be automatically revived by vacatur of the 1998 rule. Our agreement 
      with the petitioners on the rule's lawfulness will thus bring issues of 
      remedy into play. | 
| [29] | On the merits petitioners argue that EPA's decision to adopt a zero MCLG 
      in the face of scientific evidence establishing that chloroform is a threshold 
      carcinogen was inconsistent with the Safe Drinking Water Act. Section 300g-1(b)(3)(A) 
      of the Act states unequivocally that "to the degree that an Agency 
      action is based on science, the Administrator shall use ... the best available, 
      peer-reviewed science and supporting studies conducted in accordance with 
      sound and objective scientific practices." In promulgating a zero MCLG 
      for chloroform EPA openly overrode the "best available" scientific 
      evidence, which suggested that chloroform is a threshold carcinogen. | 
| [30] | EPA provides several arguments in defense of its action. First, it argues 
      that to establish a non-zero MCLG would be a "precedential step," 
      that represents "a major change in the substance of regulatory decisions 
      related to chloroform." | 
| [31] | EPA's Br. at 28-29. We do not doubt that adopting a nonzero MCLG is a 
      significant step, one which departs from previous practice. But this is 
      a change in result, not in policy. The change in outcome occurs simply as 
      a result of steadfast application of the relevant rules: first, the statutory 
      mandate to set MCLGs at "the level at which no known or anticipated 
      adverse effect on the health of persons occur," 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(4)(A), 
      as determined on the basis of the "best available" evidence; and 
      second, EPA's Carcinogen Risk Assessment guidelines, stating that when "adequate 
      data on mode of action show that linearity is not the most reasonable working 
      judgment and provide sufficient evidence to support a nonlinear mode of 
      action," the default assumption of linearity drops out. Proposed Guidelines 
      for Carcinogen Risk Assessment, 61 Fed. Reg. at 17,969/1. The fact that 
      EPA has arrived at a novel, even politically charged, outcome is of no significance 
      either for its statutory obligation or for fulfillment of its adopted policy. | 
| [32] | Second, and similarly, EPA supports its action on the basis that "it 
      could not complete the deliberations with the SAB" before the November 
      1998 deadline. EPA's Br. at 29; Final Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 69,399/1. But 
      however desirable it may be for EPA to consult an SAB and even to revise 
      its conclusion in the future, that is no reason for acting against its own 
      science findings in the meantime. The statute requires the agency to take 
      into account the "best available" evidence. 42 U.S.C. § 300g-1(b)(3)(A) 
      (emphasis added). EPA cannot reject the "best available" evidence 
      simply because of the possibility of contradiction in the future by evidence 
      unavailable at the time of action-a possibility that will always be present. | 
| [33] | Third, EPA justifies its decision not to adopt a nonzero MCLG on the basis 
      that it had to reevaluate one of its underlying technical assumptions-that 
      ingestion of chloroform in drinking water accounts for 80% of total exposure 
      to chloroform. As it stated in its final rule, EPA is currently considering 
      use of a 20% relative source contribution for drinking water, which would 
      lower the MCLG to 70 ppb. Final Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 69,399/3. Along these 
      lines, EPA's counsel conceded at oral argument that a sciencebased MCLG 
      would fall into the interval between 70 and 300 ppb. The uncertainty on 
      this issue may have provided support for choosing the lowest nonzero MCLG 
      from within that interval, but none for choosing an MCLG outside the range 
      of uncertainty. | 
| [34] | Fourth, EPA argues that since the final MCL for TTHMs is unaffected, the 
      MCLG has no actual effect, and thus EPA's decision to publish an MCLG of 
      zero pending further review of the scientific evidence was entirely reasonable. 
      In light of our analysis of the standing issue, the no-effect premise is 
      plainly incorrect. Even if it were correct, we fail to see why it would 
      justify EPA's disregard of its own scientific findings. | 
| [35] | Finally, EPA argues that its statements in the 1998 Notice of Data Availability 
      do not represent its "ultimate conclusions" with respect to chloroform, 
      and thus in adopting a zero MCLG it did not reject what it considered to 
      be the "best available" evidence. In fact, the zero MCLG merely 
      represented an "interim risk management decision" pending the 
      final SAB report. EPA's Br. at 35. We find these semantic somersaults pointless. 
      First, whether EPA has adopted its 1998 NODA as its "ultimate conclusion" 
      is irrelevant to whether it represented the "best available" evidence. 
      All scientific conclusions are subject to some doubt; future, hypothetical 
      findings always have the potential to resolve the doubt (the new resolution 
      itself being subject, of course, to falsification by later findings). What 
      is significant is Congress's requirement that the action be taken on the 
      basis of the best available evidence at the time of the rulemaking. The 
      word "available" would be senseless if construed to mean "expected 
      to be available at some future date." Second, EPA cannot avoid this 
      result by dubbing its action "interim." The statute applies broadly 
      to any "[a]gency action"; whether the action is interim is irrelevant. | 
| [36] | Although we agree with petitioners that the zero MCLG for chloroform is 
      inconsistent with the Safe Drinking Water Act and that it should be vacated, 
      we are unclear as to what further remedy petitioners seek. In their opening 
      brief petitioners requested that this Court instruct EPA to "promulgate 
      a non-zero MCLG using the best available peerreviewed science as identified 
      in the March 31, 1998 NODA and the December 16, 1998 Final Rule on an expeditious 
      timetable to be specified by the Court." Petitioners' Initial Br. at 
      34. At oral argument, however, counsel for petitioners conceded that this 
      request was a misstatement, and that EPA should be allowed, and required, 
      to consider the new SAB report as well. Further, the consequences of simple 
      vacatur are themselves unclear. Accordingly, we will schedule briefing on 
      the parties' positions as to remedy. | 
| [37] | Finding the Agency's December 1998 rule adopting a zero MCLG for chloroform 
      to be arbitrary and capricious and in excess of statutory authority, see 
      5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A) & (C), we vacate the rule. A separate order on 
      briefing additional remedies will issue shortly. | 
| [38] | So ordered. | 
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